Tuesday, March 5, 2024

BOUVIER + STOCK

 







STOCK MARKET:

As most of you are probably aware, we have this silly little tradition in the US called Groundhog Day… in the small town of Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, thousands of people flock to watch the groundhog known as Punxsutawney Phil make his annual prediction about the weather, particularly, if we will experience an “early spring.” The whole thing is a bit ridiculous; I mean, surely a groundhog seeing its shadow doesn’t determine anything… but nevertheless, this year, Phil did not see his shadow so we’re expecting an early spring. I can’t confirm that he was right just yet… but when it comes to the stock market, everything was green in February, so maybe the little guy is onto something.


The major US indexes rallied to close out the month; in fact, the S&P and Nasdaq both turned in their best February performance in a decade. While the Dow was up just around 1.5%, the S&P 500 gained 4.7%, while the Nasdaq topped 6%! Piling on the good news, the Nasdaq achieved a new record high – the first time in more than 2 years. It’s worth noting that much of this rally seems to be spurred by anticipation of an AI boom, which is providing substantial support in the tech sector… in fact, Nvidia continues to see a surge in trading volume and price – it has overtaken Tesla as the most widely traded company, and has rocketed past Amazon and Alphabet to become Wall Street’s third most valuable company, with a market cap of $1.9 trillion. Similarly, Microsoft benefitted from the AI rush, which has allowed it to eclipse Apple as the world’s most valuable company at just over $3 trillion.


When it comes to currencies and commodities, it was much of the same… the British Pound weakened ever so slightly to the dollar, down about .25%; the Euro remained nearly even compared to its starting point. Crude has gained more than 5%, which means it is back to flirting with $80/barrel. And gold has been holding steady above the $2k mark… though, oddly it dipped below that briefly on Valentine’s Day; make of that what you will – perhaps it was some artificial price manipulation so the guys on Wall Street could score last minute deals on gifts for their wives – lol jokes.


Last but certainly not least, the crypto kids are back! The star of the show continues to be Bitcoin… it turned in a massive 45% gain through February, now sitting back above $60K; stay strong and HODL. Ethereum actually fared slightly better, with a 48% gain, which pushed it into the $3,500 ballpark. While Litecoin saw a last-minute rally in the final days of the month, it only achieved a paltry 25% gain.


No matter how you slice it, February was a solid month across the board… in fact, this was the fourth month in a row we’ve seen gains. Hopefully, we can keep this rally going!



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THE BOUVIER AFFAIR: SOTHEBY’S CLEARED IN LAWSUIT

February 5, 2024
The portrait of Jesus Christ named Salvator Mundi, by Leonardo Da Vinci, bought by Yves Bouvier on behalf of Dmitry Rybolovlev

Da Vinci’s Salvator Mundi

The final act of the decade-long Bouvier Affair has come to an end. The series of legal actions by Russian billionaire Dmitri Rybolovlev against the Swiss art dealer Yves Bouvier ended in December 2023. However, there was still the matter of Rybolovlev’s lawsuit against Sotheby’s for allegedly aiding and abetting Bouvier in his supposed fraud. After a 21-day trial, a federal jury in New York took five hours to find Sotheby’s not liable for Rybolovlev’s damages.

The original feud between Rybolovlev and Bouvier started in 2017 when the Russian oligarch alleged that Bouvier had worked as his agent in amassing an impressive art collection. The Swiss dealer acquired thirty-eight artworks for around $2 billion on Rybolovlev’s behalf between 2002 and 2014. The most well-known piece was Salvator Mundi by Leonardo da Vinci, which later sold at Christie’s for $400 million (or $450.3 million w/p), becoming the most valuable painting in the world. Rybolovlev accused Bouvier of defrauding him of over $1 billion, and, in some cases, Sotheby’s helped him do it. Sotheby’s, of course, has denied this, asserting that it obeyed “all legal requirements, financial obligations, and industry best practices during the transactions of these artworks”.

Salvator Mundi took a central role during the trial, as it is the most well-known of the four paintings Bouvier bought at Sotheby’s, which he later sold to Rybolovlev. Bouvier purchased the work in 2013 for $83 million, turning around and selling it to the Russian billionaire for $127.5 million. Rybolovlev claims that Bouvier legally could not charge such large markups since he acted as his agent. However, Bouvier asserted that he acted as a dealer independent of Rybolovlev and could sell paintings for whatever price he wished. Sotheby’s stated that Bouvier was the only buyer to their knowledge and that whatever he did with the paintings afterward was none of their business. Sotheby’s lawyers even argued that Rybolovlev was at fault here for failing to do his due diligence and protect himself against predatory practices. In his lawsuit, however, Rybolovlev alleges that Sotheby’s was aware of Bouvier’s scheme and did nothing to prevent it. Rybolovlev’s legal team presented some evidence that Sotheby’s may have known him to be the final buyer since Sotheby’s specialist Samuel Valette viewed Salvator Mundi with both Bouvier and Rybolovlev before the purchase at the Russian oligarch’s Manhattan apartment. When called to testify, Valette stated that he did not connect Rybolovlev’s presence there to Bouvier buying the painting on his behalf. Rybolovlev further argued that Sotheby’s purposefully inflated their estimate ranges and insurance valuations to hide Bouvier’s markups.

Sotheby’s did acknowledge that Rybolovlev seems to have been taken advantage of but that it was not the auction house’s burden. Furthermore, Rybolovlev and his legal team have found a silver lining to this outcome despite the loss. They say that whether they won or not, the trial allowed the public a short glimpse into the inner workings of the art world, which are often intentionally wrapped up in secrecy. Rybolovlev’s lawyer, Daniel Kornstein, stated that the art market’s “lack of transparency” made their case so difficult to make in the first place.

For previous updates on the Bouvier Affair:

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